Alberta.io
Alberta Polls

Who's gaining ground in Alberta?

Polls are not predictions, but they are useful signals. This page keeps the latest public numbers readable: who leads, how close it is, and whether the trend is actually moving.

Leader
UCP
Margin
13 points
Poll age
12 days

Sources checked 12h ago

Abacus Data · published Sep 16, 2026 · n=1,000

Trend Line

Smoothed five-poll average for the two consistently reported parties.

Vote intention
60%45%30%15%0%Mar 2024Sep 2024Mar 2025Sep 2025Mar 2026Sep 2026UCP 49.8%NDP 40.8%
UCP trend
NDP trend
Sovereignty

Stay or separate?

Source
Separation is too big a risk67%
Separation is a risk worth taking25%

Abacus Data · Published Sep 17, 2026 · n=1,000

67% say separation is too big a risk; corresponds to those who would not choose Option 2 (commence a legal process leading to a binding vote on independence).

Leader approval

How the leaders are rated

A single pollster snapshot; approval questions should not be averaged across firms.

Source
Approve of Danielle Smith's job as Premier38%
Disapprove of Danielle Smith's job as Premier56%
Approve of Naheed Nenshi's job as Opposition and NDP leader39%
Disapprove of Naheed Nenshi's job as Opposition and NDP leader44%

Ipsos · Published Jun 7, 2026 · n=600

What People Name First

The issues competing for attention

Latest comparable public survey. These are not vote shares, and totals can exceed 100%.

Source
Health care24%
Economy13%
Inflation / rising interest rates10%
Provincial Nationalism / Separatism9%
Housing prices / affordability8%
Jobs / unemployment5%
Energy / pipelines5%
Taxes4%
USA Tariffs / Trade Sanctions / Trump4%
Education3%
Poverty3%
Crime / public safety3%
Environment / climate change2%
Homelessness2%
Opioid / drug overdose / toxicity crisis1%
Transportation1%
Wildfires1%

Leger · Published Mar 1, 2026 · n=1,001

Recent Polls

Source links open pollster tables or public releases.

Checked twice daily
Abacus DataFieldwork Sep 4, 2026–Sep 7, 2026
n=1,000
UCP
52%
NDP
39%
Other
3%
R esearch Co.Poll date Aug 25, 2026
n=750
UCP
46%
NDP
43%
AP
5%
Other
2%
LegerFieldwork Aug 21, 2026–Aug 23, 2026
n=1,001
UCP
51%
NDP
41%
LegerFieldwork Aug 21, 2026–Aug 23, 2026
n=1,001
UCP
51%
NDP
41%
Other
9%
LegerFieldwork May 29, 2026–Jun 1, 2026
n=1,014
UCP
49%
NDP
40%
Other
11%
IpsosFieldwork May 28, 2026–Jun 1, 2026
n=600
UCP
48%
NDP
45%
Other
6%
Angus ReidPoll date May 23, 2026
n=800
UCP
46%
NDP
45%
AP
4%
Probe ResearchPoll date May 2, 2026
n=1,484
UCP
46%
NDP
39%
AP
6%
Other
8%
Janet Brown Opinion Research / Trend ResearchFieldwork Apr 7, 2026–Apr 22, 2026
n=1,200
UCP
49%
NDP
36%
AP
1%
Other
14%
Janet BrownPoll date Apr 15, 2026
n=1,200
UCP
49%
NDP
36%
AP
1%
Other
3%
LegerFieldwork Apr 3, 2026–Apr 6, 2026
n=1,003
UCP
53%
NDP
36%
Pollara Strategic InsightsFieldwork Mar 16, 2026–Mar 25, 2026
n=3,200
UCP
49%
NDP
42%
Other
9%
PollaraPoll date Mar 21, 2026
n=3,200
UCP
49%
NDP
42%
LegerFieldwork Mar 2, 2026–Mar 4, 2026
n=1,001
UCP
48%
NDP
36%
AP
5%
Other
7%
Abacus DataFieldwork Feb 20, 2026–Feb 25, 2026
n=1,000
UCP
49%
NDP
36%
AP
2%
Other
11%
MainstreetFieldwork Feb 10, 2026–Feb 12, 2026
n=1,504
UCP
48%
NDP
40%
AP
3%
Other
7%
LegerFieldwork Jan 23, 2026–Jan 26, 2026
n=1,003
UCP
50%
NDP
37%
AP
4%
Other
5%
Liaison StrategiesPoll date Jan 11, 2026
n=1,000
UCP
46%
NDP
44%
Other
2%
Liaison StrategiesFieldwork Jan 7, 2026–Jan 11, 2026
n=1,000
UCP
46%
NDP
44%
AP
2%
Other
6%
Angus ReidPoll date Dec 20, 2025
n=150
UCP
48%
NDP
45%
AP
4%
Other
3%

The next Alberta provincial election must be held by May 29, 2027. The legislature has 87 seats, requiring 44 seats for a majority government.